Ukraine’s descent into chaos and the sanction recoil

Ukraine is, slowly but surely, descending into chaos. Chaos that it might not recover from. The east is already lost. It matters not if the resistance has a tactical victory or loss on any given day. What matters is that they will not rest until they are in Kiev.

There was a chance to remain united and perhaps fulfil that Ukrainian imported myth of “territorial integrity” even (minus Crimea) until even a few months ago. But that ship has sailed.

Mayor Klitschko to the rescue

I find it especially amusing when the privileged dish out advice to the ones who suffer from their decisions. This is a hallmark of neoliberalism; Where the tormentor is given the role of the saviour. Only pure idiocy can emerge as advice, and so it was when the government issued guidelines on how to survive the winter in Ukraine.

The central heating will be down during this period of “glorious resistance” in an artificial war created by oligarchs to get richer at the expense of the population. Glory indeed. And so it goes, Klitschko advises[1]:

-The first recommendation is to insulate windows and doors
– Stock up on warm clothing made of natural fabrics, boots and hats
– Paint the central heating in a red or brown color to enhance their heat. (No, this is not a joke)
– Use the winter balcony instead of the refrigerator

Dissent in Western Ukraine

With tens of thousands of troops deployed in the east and fierce battles raging, the growing dissent in other regions is not getting the attention it will probably command in the near future.

As the state disintegrates so does the fabric that holds together a country like Ukraine, the fabric of fear. Fear is how Ukraine is ruled today and not everyone is afraid.

The Zakarpattia Oblast is a region that has changed hands several times in its history during the 20th century. The contiguous cross-border area of Poland, Slovakia and Hungary in western Ukraine has been campaigning for federal status and had asked Russia, US and EU to recognize this.

Of course, the only solution in town is force. Kiev has dispatched 1500 soldiers to Mukachevko  and suspected “separatists” have been arrested in Zhitomir.[2]

This is of course not all, there is a lot more going on in western Ukraine. From public protests at the mounting death toll to the conscription for the Nazi-Choco-Army.

Lets make this more fun

Since things are going so well for the Junta, they have decided to take more proactive measures bordering on the clinically insane variety.

The National Guard (read: Nazis) will now be given control of “Nuclear Material” such as nuclear fuel and radioactive waste. [3]

The sanction recoil

As time pases, the voices grow louder. Everyday there is a new report and statement from disgruntled states forced to bite the bullet because of Europe’s total subservience to the Empire.

Serbia

Serbia is being rewarded and could see a doubling of exports to Russia. In fact, Serbia is so excited of this prospect that it has been working overtime to stop sanction dodgers.[4]

EU Sanction Dodging

Constant attempts to bypass sanctions are becoming more common place now with Belarus being used as a re-exporter. Of course, these pathetic attempts are being blocked and a warning has already been issued to Belarus[5].

The Poles have approached Brussels along with other EU countries asking for compensation[6]. This would be fine if the pretend world the EU lives in (at least on the mainstream media) was real. In the real world, the EU has set aside a meagre €125 million when the compensation bills will be in the billions[7].

Here is a snapshot of the situation:

Top suppliers from the import ban list.
Top suppliers from the import ban list.

With Spain losing €337 , Italy €1bn and Poland €1.5bn as just a subset example, things will begin to heat up. The Poles are already pushing for an escalation to the WTO. Something that no one wants, an escalation could be even more costly.

Switzerland has decided to do what it does best, profit from the quarrels of those idiots in the EU. It has rejected appeals of being a  conduit to allow the EU to dodge sanctions[8].  Actually, when is the last time you read about the EU dodging sanctions? A twist of fate.

Bulgaria is the only remaining weak link in the Russian South Stream project, which has once again been halted[9]. No doubt under US advice, always ready to help out their minions shoot themselves in the foot. A trademark US speciality: Making your “friends” screw themselves.

In the words of Boris Johnson “the great supine invertebrate protoplasmic jellies” are vibrating under pressure.

Russian diplomacy 

Russia readjusting the sanctions to allow speciality food products is an excellent move to once again let the idiots in Europe know that the pain can go away, just like that. If they play ball.[10]

Trade deals are being struck everywhere on the map, and Russia & China are experiencing an unexpected romance. Long delayed opportunities are being picked up and progress being made. Take Mongolia for example, have you heard much about it? Exactly. It has for decades been unsuccessfully trying to court western capital but is now turning to Russia and China. The region has an excellent opportunity at hand and its neighbors are coming bearing gifts. The Chinese and Russian presidents are both due to visit soon[11].

And just if you forgot, the overall picture is looking even more favorable in the court of public opinion. The resistance is viewed favorably the world over, except in the “International Community” of the decaying old world order[12].

Green areas represent favorable media coverage.
Green areas represent favorable media coverage of Novorossiya .

AE


[1] http://www.rg.ru/2014/08/18/ukraina-site-anons.html

[2]http://nedelya-ua.com/articles/1500-ukrainskih-voennyh-pribyli-v-podkarpatskuyu-rus-video

[3] http://www.vesti.ru/doc.html?id=1904436&tid=105474

[4] http://en.ria.ru/business/20140820/192174652/Serbia-Fighting-Against-Re-Export-of-Banned-Produce-to-Russia.html

[5] http://rt.com/business/181252-rosselhoznadzor-reexport-products-russia/

[6] http://rt.com/business/181468-poland-wto-complaint-official-russia/

[7] http://rt.com/business/181036-europe-food-russia-sanctions/

[8] http://rt.com/business/181540-switzerland-rejects-russia-embargo/

[9] http://rt.com/business/181136-bulgaria-halts-south-stream/

[10] http://rt.com/business/181636-russia-food-ban-amendments/

[11] http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-20/mongolia-seeks-economic-lifeline-with-pivot-to-china-russia.html

[12] http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=8d4_1408438170

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3 thoughts on “Ukraine’s descent into chaos and the sanction recoil”

  1. This is an excellent article. The information is high class. Thanks.

    I smiled when I read what Klitschko had to say. In the beginning of the 1990s, I survived in a badly insulated summerhouse in the extreme north of Europe for years. You know, northern Scandinavia with winter temperatures of -30C or worse sometimes. I had an axe and a handsaw. No shower, no washingmachine. I was young and strong. The first winter, I carried wood from the forest on my back every day and slept under many blankets. The second, I had wood to burn thanks to 2-3 weeks of hard physical labour the previous year. I also added not so efficient lowcost insulation to the ceiling and the floor. As much as I could afford. I had +14C in the morning and was happy. One of my children, a strong and healthy woman today, lived here as a baby.

    My point is, people, who live in apartments in Kiev, will find it difficult to live as well as I did, though I survived under near 19th century conditions. How are they to cope? Do they have woodstoves? Perhaps they have no access to wood, no tools and very little  time to prepare for the coming winter. They will suffer terribly, like some British pensioners who can’t afford heating. Aren’t many of them dying?
      

  2. Watching from Australia, I have found not only Australia’s behavior but that of the whole of the western world despicable, the fact that western leaders have in effect condoned ethnic cleansing and the utilization of artillery and missiles on urban areas is truly shocking.

    But in regards to Ukraine, I feel that the Russian government has taken the correct stance, shortages of energy which is the lifeblood of modern economies will undoubtedly occur by winter in the form of both coal and gas shortages will force the junta to retract or collapse. It appears that the junta, egged on by their masters in Washington are prepared to go all the way and destroy Ukraine in their attempt to fulfill the imperial edicts of their masters.

    What still eludes my understanding is what the endgame is in Ukraine, surely neither the junta or their masters can think that Russia will tolerate a neo – nazi state that engages in ethnic cleansing on its borders. In any case, the junta’s fate will be decided by winter.

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